Tuesday, February 19, 2008

(Stimulus Bill, Mtg Ins, and FHA) Market Snapshot and Key Update

Good morning,

The stimulus bill has passed but lenders don’t have the changes in place to offer the higher loan amounts to agency approved customers. Apparently HUD has 30 days to come up with the posted numbers for our area after changing their systems, documentation, etc. Then the lenders will update theirs. This process could take a little longer than we all thought. 30 days? 60 days? The jumbo loans, or newly conforming loans or whatever you want to call them are going to be submitted in separate pools and we are not sure if the pricing will be worse for these types of loans. For now we have to wait and see and know that good news is coming.

NOTE* If you didn’t see the “Ignore the Headlines” article in the February 25th issue of Time Magazine, you may want to take a look. Famed money manager Peter Lynch explains that the inevitable rise in interest rates may extinguish a borrower’s advantage to get into more house, for a lower rate. It might be a good article to have on hand for indecisive borrowers. A half point worsening to rate on a $220k home could mean $20k+ less that one would qualify for with the same payment. It’s a little more complicated if one is selling their home but if you are buying or refinancing there may be no better time.

As far as Mortgage insurance goes; the word on the streets is that MGIC is going to update some of their guidelines on March 3rd. In a recent Washington Post article from February 16th, Kenneth Harney he mentions changes that will include: 680 min ficos for homebuyers with less that 5% down (same applies to less than 10% down in declining markets) – no more cash out refis on investment properties – reduced doc programs will require a 660 fico and have to show 50% of their income coming from self-employment sources. This all comes after MGIC estimated they would lose over a billion in the 4th quarter. Keep in mind that FHA products will come into play a lot more now that the MI companies are struggling with lower ficos and higher LTV’s.

In other words there is more tightening coming in for riskier loans. Consumers have to qualify under much more stringent processes due to the avalanche of foreclosures and delinquent loans. Sub Prime is still existent but the rates and payments are inflated and the terms in general are short. FHA is the new Alt-A and there are a few ways to structure these loans. 100% financing is still available at beautiful rates but that is through CalHFA and you must fit the parameters. Pretty much all financing is subject to risk based pricing.

The great news is that money is cheap, there is a ton of inventory and the loan limits for GSE (Fannie and Freddie) loans are increasing… it just remains to be seen how much.
I’ll keep you posted as developments evolve.




Final Thought on taking action…


I will act now. I will act now. I will act now. Henceforth, I will repeat these words each hour, each day, everyday, until the words become as much a habit as my breathing, and the action which follows becomes as instinctive as the blinking of my eyelids. With these words I can condition my mind to perform every action necessary for my success. I will act now. I will repeat these words again and again and again. I will walk where failures fear to walk. I will work when failures seek rest. I will act now for now is all I have. Tomorrow is the day reserved for the labor of the lazy. I am not lazy. Tomorrow is the day when the failure will succeed. I am not a failure. I will act now. Success will not wait. If I delay, success will become wed to another and lost to me forever. This is the time. This is the place. I am the person.

~Og Mandino 2/19/08

Thursday, February 14, 2008

2/14/2008 Quick Question...

How much of the devastation caused by the “Housing Bubble and Unethical Lending" practices would have never reached these levels if there were open discussions and proactive education aimed at consumers and professionals for the sole purpose of their protection their well being?

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

2/13/08 Economic Stimulus Bill Signed in by the President.


As of today the Economic Stimulus bill was signed into law by the President. We would like to let you know what to expect.

Several steps listed below, must occur before anyone can lock in loan applications with the
higher loan amounts.

• First, the GSEs and FHA must assess their internal impacts to determine the delivery approach they will require of mortgage lenders and investors.

• Second, GSEs and FHA must communicate their requirements to mortgage lenders and investors.

• Third, Lenders will work to identify impacts and implement the changes as quickly as possible.

Due to these necessary steps, the higher limits offered by GSEs and FHA as a result of this bill will not be immediately available to our clients (higher loan limits are still available through non-conforming product offerings.)

High-level Details of the Stimulus Package

Details of the GSA/FHA requirements are not finalized; however, outlined below is some information regarding what is expected as a result of the new law:

Overall

• The increases are a temporary solution for some high-cost areas based on Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs).

• The Higher loan limits will not be immediately available.

• Changes related to FHA Modernization were not included in the Economic Stimulus Package.
GSE Loan Limits

• Loan amounts may be as high as $729,750; however, $729,750 will not be the nationwide loan limit.

Increases will be available in high-cost areas based on the median area sales prices and will follow the standard HUD mortgage loan limit calculation process.

• To determine high-cost areas, the calculation factor will increase to 125% of the area median sales price.

• The temporary increase applies to loans originated from July 1, 2007, through Dec.31,2008.


FHA

• Loan limits in high-cost areas may increase to as much as $729,750..

• To determine high-cost areas, the calculation factor will increase from 95% to 125% of the area median sales price.

• The increase applies to loans with credit approval issued prior to Dec. 31, 2008.

• Floor will increase to $271,050.

2/13/08 Stimulus Bill to be Signed Today!!

A message from CAMB Government Affairs Chair Ed Smith, Jr.
regarding the Economic Stimulus bill.

President Bush to sign the Economic Stimulus bill Today!

On Thursday of last week, as CAMB members lobbied the halls of the congressional offices in Washington, D.C., the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives passed a final version of the Economic Stimulus bill that includes provisions to increase the FHA and GSE conforming loan limits. Essentially, the loan limit would be 125 percent of the area median home price, but in no case will exceed 175 percent of the conforming loan limitation for 2008 ($729,750). The bill gives HUD 30 days from enactment to set the loan limit by area. An analysis of how the increase will work for the GSE and FHA loan limit is attached below.

Attached Analysis

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

2/4/08 REALTOR UPDATE

Many of you have clients that will need 100% financing. Not to worry; there are still several STRONG programs that are available for your clients.

There are available 100% financing programs in California regardless of the declining market factor.

NOTE* The FHA and CalHFA loan limits are subject to the areas New Construction and Resale Targeted and Non-Targeted assessments from HUD.

Loan limits for Sacramento, Placer and Yolo counties for CalHFA Non-Targeted Resale and New Construction are $429,619. For those with targeted areas the loan amount increases to $525,090.



Final Thought…

Don't waste life in doubts and fears; spend yourself on the work before you, well assured that the right performance of this hour's duties will be the best preparation for the hours and ages that will follow it.


~Ralph Waldo Emerson